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AUDIENCE THEORY

Overview

The modern media environment is very different from where it was ten years ago, last year, and indeed six months ago.

We now have a proliferation of media, and a limited audience to which to appeal.

  1. Fast growing media.

  2. Slow growing audience.

  3. High risk

  4. Changes in marketing tactics.

All of which mean

  1. Smaller audiences

  2. More care to that audience

  3. From mass audience to single viewer.

  4. Unknown environment

  5. Few models to go on.

Which means

Go with the flow and hope for the best

OR

Get innovative and risk all.

In broadcasting there are always two choices.  There is always a path, and there are always two extremes to that path.

You can go one way or the other.

Or you can choose 1000 different shades of gray in between.

Plenty of choices, little guidance, hardly any precedent.

 

A lot of us think that broadcast programming is quite simple.  Some of us have worked in it for a long time, and regard it as something “we can do in our sleep”.

That’s right.  We do it instinctively and we do it well.  But do we know WHY we do it instinctively?

Instinct is a deceptive thing.  Instinct is based on experience and learned behaviours.

Let’s take step back and look at Instinct.

Instinct

We know that something is right or wrong instinctively when we have an intuitive feel that it is right or wrong.  This intuition comes from warning signals that may or may not give us a warm feeling in our guts.

These warning signals come from a type of conditioning.  A bad experience programmes us to recoil when we feel the same experience coming back to us.  It’s simple Pavlovian response.

We behave as response to experience as we have learned to be wary of experiences repeating themselves.

Here comes the interesting part.  We may feel that something bad is going to repeat itself because we recognise the warning signs.  But are these signs really the signs that the SAME thing is going to happen again.

As we get older and more experienced, and as our instincts get honed even more, so we respond to warning signs that come earlier and earlier.

This explains why experienced people are more conservative and less adventurous.

So is instinct good enough?

Informed instinct

We live and work in changing and changeable times.

Technology is wreaking havoc with the order and symmetry that we have been used to. What we learn in the textbooks gives and impression of broadcast world that is cut and dried, definite, immoveable and trundling along as it has done for years.

That’s where our instinct is so bad for us.  Our instinct gives us warning signals of a world of experience gone past.

That’s fine in stable times and given the assumption that things don’t change.

But times are not like that.  Broadcasting as it was ten years ago is not as it will be a year from now.  Our instincts have little to offer us if we are to use them to make decisions based on past experiences.

We have to learn to mix them, to make our instincts as moveable and changeable as the times.

This is the world of the world wide web, 24/7 day-trading, satellite television, soundbitten and spindoctored politics, mobile phoneophilia, pick ’n’ mix lifestyles, serial monogamy and relentless McDonaldisation. It is a world of ephemerality, instability, proliferation, hallucination and, above all, chaos. It is a world where the beating of a butterfly’s wings in South America can cause a stock market crash in Hong Kong or swerve the ball into the net at Old Trafford. It is a world of unexpected, unpredictable, uncontrollable, unremitting, some would say unnecessary, upheaval.

(Stephen Brown: Postmodern Marketing)

 

 



Quick Guide
bullet  How we came to develop Audience Science
bullet  Audience Motivators
bullet  Audience Theory
bullet  Studying Audiences
bullet  South African demographics
TRAINING PROGRAMMES
bullet  Audience psychology
bullet  Pitching
bullet  Evaluating content